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三峡建坝断航期运输格局的计算机模拟
引用本文:王劲峰,张文尝.三峡建坝断航期运输格局的计算机模拟[J].长江流域资源与环境,1996,5(1):6-9.
作者姓名:王劲峰  张文尝
作者单位:[1]中国科学院地理研究所 [2]国家计划委员会长远规划司
摘    要:GIS与运输经济统计结合可进行运量模拟、分析、预测和规划。实验表明三峡建坝断航对全国交通流格局影响是局域性的,但对川,鄂,苏,沪区际交流影响较大,华南三港因接受出川转运物资吞吐量将增加2% ̄7%,襄渝货运量增加600万t,川黔-黔桂线运量将增加100万t。

关 键 词:计算机模拟  断航  交通流量  水路运输  三峡工程

COMPUTER SIMULATION OF THE TRANSPORTATION PATTERN OF CHINA DURING THE CONSTRUCTION OF THREE GORGE DAM IN THE YANGTZE RIVER
Wang Jinfeng.COMPUTER SIMULATION OF THE TRANSPORTATION PATTERN OF CHINA DURING THE CONSTRUCTION OF THREE GORGE DAM IN THE YANGTZE RIVER[J].Resources and Environment in the Yangtza Basin,1996,5(1):6-9.
Authors:Wang Jinfeng
Abstract:Combining GIS and transportation economic statistics, we can simulate, analyse and predict transportation flow. The case study discovered that the impact on the transportation network of China by the navigation suspend is of regional nature. During the suspend period, the exchange between Sichuan and Hubei, Jiangsu and Shanghai will be significantly effected, the goods input and output in the three sea harbours Huangpu, Zhanjiang and Beihai in South China will increase by 2%---7%; goods transporation by the railways of Xiang-Yu and Chuan-Qian-Gui will increase by 6 million and 1 million tons respectively.
Keywords:computer simulation  navigation suspend  transportation flow  
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