北京市道路交通安全现状分析及控制策略研究

在分析北京市道路交通安全形势以及事故特点的基础上,运用交通冲突理论分析道路交通事故发生的机理,论述道路交通事故发生的过程。并从安全系统工程学角度,使用交通事故显性/隐性致因模型对道路交通事故的致因因素进行分析,强调管理因素的重要性。最后,结合北京市道路交通现状,综合运用3E对策,讨论了改善道路交通安全的控制策略。通过加大违章行为惩罚力度、培养安全文化、建立道路交通事故应急救援体系以及应用智能交通技术等措施,消除道路交通系统中人的不安全行为和物的不安全状态,提高北京市道路交通安全水平。

Analysis of Road Traffic Safety Situation in Beijing and Its Control Strategies

In view of the high frequency of traffic accidents in Beijing, the paper analyses the mechanism of road traffic accidents using traffic conflict theory, and discusses the process of road traffic accidents based on the analysis of road traffic safety situation and accident characteristics. Then from the point of view of safety system engineering, the causation of road traffic accidents is analyzed by applying active/latent model. The importance of management factor is also emphasized. Finally, based on the road traffic situation in Beijing, the paper discusses control strategy for the improvement of road traffic safety by applying 3E measures. The person's unsafe acts and the unsafe state of things in road traffic system might be avoided through such measures as increasing punishment for illegal acts, establishing safety culture, setting up emergency system for road traffic accident and employing Intelligent Transportation System. And thus, the level of road traffic safety in Beijing will be enhanced.