| 安全投资与安全效益的预测及关联分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗春红,谢贤平.安全投资与安全效益的预测及关联分析[J].工业安全与环保,2007,33(8):56-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗春红 谢贤平 |
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| 作者单位： | 昆明理工大学国土资源工程学院,昆明,650093 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用灰色预测模型,建立了安全投资与事故损失预测模型.运用灰色关联理论,建立了安全投资与安全效益灰色关联分析模型,并利用这2个模型对某石化公司的安全分项投资及事故直接经济损失情况进行了案例分析.初步确定该企业安全投资中各分项投资与事故损失的预测值.确定了该企业安全投资中各分项投资与效益的相关程度,找出了安全投资结构中与效益关联度最大的因素,并优先将其作为安全投资方向.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测模型 灰色关联分析 关联度 安全效益 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-01-22 |
Prediction and Correlation Analysis on Safety Investment and Safety Benefits |
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| LUO Chun-hong,XIE Xian-ping.Prediction and Correlation Analysis on Safety Investment and Safety Benefits[J].Industrial Safety and Dust Control,2007,33(8):56-58. |
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| Authors: | LUO Chun-hong XIE Xian-ping |
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| Institution: | School of Land Resource Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology Kunming 650093 |
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| Abstract: | Gray prediction model in applied to construct prediction model on safety investments and accident losses.Gray correlation theory is used to construct gray correlation analysis model on safety investments and safety benefits.The two models are utilized to conduct case analyses on safety investments and direct economic losses on one petrochemical company.The forecast value of safety investments and the accident losses is initially determined.The relativity of safety investments and the economic benefits of the enterprise is determined.The factor that affects greatly the benefit relativity in safety investment structure is found out,which is regarded as the preferred direction of safety investment. |
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| Keywords: | gray predication model gray correlation analysis relativity safety benefit |
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