环境规制视角下制造业绿色转型对能源强度的影响

基于Super-SBM及动态面板门槛模型，系统分析中国制造业行业绿色转型异质性结构，并从环境规制视角探析制造业绿色转型对于其行业能源强度的影响效应.研究发现：中国制造业绿色转型并没有实现（平均值为-0.1637），且行业间差异显著，其转型过程呈现明显波动特征.有趣的是，中国制造业绿色转型对于能源强度的作用存在显著的环境规制异质门槛效应：较低程度的环境规制并不利于促使制造业绿色转型降低能源强度.而随着环境规制强度的提高并突破“临界点”，在一定程度上有效增强了制造业绿色转型的影响作用，进而推动能源强度的降低.

The impact of green transformation of manufacturing industry on energy intensity: The perspective of environmental regulation

Based on the Super-SBM and dynamic panel threshold model, this paper systematically measured the heterogeneous structure of green transformation in China's manufacturing industries, and also analyzed the impact of green transformation of manufacturing industry on its energy intensity from the perspective of environmental regulation. It was found that the green transformation of China's manufacturing industry had not been realized (the average value was -0.1637), and the degree of transformation differed significantly between industries. Furthermore, the transformation process presented obvious fluctuation characteristics among industries. Interestingly, there was a significant threshold effect of environmental regulation on the role of green transformation on energy intensity. A lower degree of environmental regulation was not found to be conducive to the reduction of energy intensity through green transformation of manufacturing industry. However, with the increasing intensity of environmental regulation to surpass the “critical value”, it was found that to a certain extent, the regulation could effectively enhance the effect of green transformation of manufacturing industry, namely, facilitating the reduction of energy intensity.