| 复杂社会技术系统安全事故的成因结构敏感性及预防对策研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 许正权,朱方策.复杂社会技术系统安全事故的成因结构敏感性及预防对策研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2009,19(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 许正权 朱方策 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国矿业大学管理学院,徐州,221116 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点项目，国家自然科学基金，教育部人文社科研究规划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 简要回顾现有复杂社会技术系统安全事故的成因理论存在的局限性,根据大量统计资料和经验总结构建事故成因理论的缺陷。该研究试图从分析和推理入手,根据复杂社会技术系统运行机制及事故成因结构敏感性特征,探索由于新技术快速普及应用而不断涌现的复杂社会技术系统的失效机制及事故的成因理论;解释复杂社会技术系统安全事故的严重程度差异性、时间方向性及情境依赖性;为任何因新技术普及应用而产生的人造系统的安全分析及事故预防提供理论和方法支撑。
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| 关 键 词： | 失效机制 事故成因 复杂社会技术系统 结构敏感性 数据库 |
Structural Sensitivity of Accident Causation for Complex Socio-technical System and Its Preventive Countermeasures |
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| XU Zheng-quan,ZHU Fang-ce.Structural Sensitivity of Accident Causation for Complex Socio-technical System and Its Preventive Countermeasures[J].China Safety Science Journal,2009,19(3). |
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| Authors: | XU Zheng-quan ZHU Fang-ce |
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| Abstract: | Firstly,the limitations and deficiencies of the existing accident causation theories for complex socio-technical system are reviewed and summarized according to large amount of statistical data and experience.Then,the failure mechanism and accident causation theory for complex socio-technical system failures in the rapid application and popularization of new technology are explored based on the operational mechanism and structural sensitivity characteristics of accidents causation.Finally,the reasons for accidents severity differences,time direction and situation dependence in socio-technical system accidents are explained.This study provides theoretical and methodological support for the safety analysis and accident prevention of man-made systems with the application of any new technology. |
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| Keywords: | failure mechanism accident causation complex socio-technical systems structural sensitivity data base |
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