灰色系统理论在地震预报研究中的初步应用 |
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引用本文: | 李仲谋. 灰色系统理论在地震预报研究中的初步应用[J]. 防灾减灾工程学报, 1986, 0(4) |
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作者姓名: | 李仲谋 |
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作者单位: | 广东省揭西县科委 |
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摘 要: | 本文利用灰色系统理论的GM(1,1)模型研究地震预报,给出了地震预报灰色模型和东南沿海泉汕地震带西南段的应用实例。初步表明,这种方法在中长期预报中可以使用。
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PRIMARY APPLICATION OF THE GRAY SYSTEM THEORY IN THE STUDY OF EARTHQUAKE FORECAST |
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Abstract: | This paper applies the GM(1,1)model of the gray system theory to study earthquake forecast.It gives the gray model of earthquake forecast and the examples in the southwest section of Quanzhou-Shantou seismic zone of the southeast coast.This method can be used in middle and long term earthquake forecasts. |
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