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THE VALUE OF STREAMFLOW FORECASTING IN RESERVOIR OPERATION1
Authors:Arts P Georgakakos
Abstract:ABSTRACT: The value of streamflow forecasts in reservoir operation depends on a number of factors and may vary considerably. Assessment of forecast benefits is presented here for three specific systems. Statistical streamflow models of increasing forecasting ability are coupled with a recently developed stochastic control method in extensive simulation experiments. The performance of the system is statisticafly evaluated with regard to energy generation and flood and drought prevention. The results indicate that forecast benefits are system specific and may range from quite substantial to fairly minimal.
Keywords:reservoir operation  stochastic control  flood protection  energy generation
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