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Stochastic environmental research risk assessment
Institution:1. CMRP/IST, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal;2. National School of Public Health, Av. Avenida Padre Cruz, 1600-560 Lisboa, Portugal;1. U.S. Census Bureau, 4600 Silver Hill Road, Washington, DC 20233, USA;2. Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University, 5 Columbus Circle, Rm. 1116, New York, NY 10023, USA;1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dr. H.S. Gour University, Sagar, M.P. 470003, India;2. Department of Applied Sciences, ABV-Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Gwalior, M.P. 474015, India;3. Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Liverpool Hope University, Liverpool L16 9JD, UK;1. Shanghai Institute of Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Mechanics in Energy Engineering, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200072, China;2. School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China;3. State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361102, China;1. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Patras, University Campus, GR-26 500 Patras, Greece;2. Department of Civil Engineering, Technological Educational Institute of Western Greece, Megalou Alexandrou 1, GR-263 34 Patras, Greece
Abstract:In a briefly approach, sustainability can be defined as the ability to achieve economic prosperity while protecting the natural systems of the planet, and providing a higher quality of life for its people. Nowadays it is a prime and very active area of research, fundamental for human development. Several concepts based on economics, social and environmental concerns have been considered in the development of sustainability indices. The sustainability concept is, not only but necessarily, dependent on “quantification of the environment health”, necessary to determine its effectiveness in achieving or increasing the environmental capacities of ecosystems, as well as to compare alternative plans and policies, to influence decision-makers.Environmental indices are a very important tool for the analysis of some environmental assessment factors, providing quantitative criteria and synthesizing the available information. A good index should be simple to use, transparent, and expandable across other issues. In particular, environmental indices are a useful tool for several audiences, to aid environmental decision making and to allow the media to keep score of and reduce complex information to a smaller, more easily retained, amount of information Hardi, P., DeSouza-Huletey, J.A., 2000. Issues in analyzing data and indicators for sustainable development. Ecol. Model. 130, 59–65].The goal of this work is the development of environmental indices, based on stochastically simulated scenarios, using probabilistic approaches. This study was applied to assess the impact of particulate air contamination on the Setúbal Peninsula ecosystems (South of Lisbon, Portugal).
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