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Estimating Population Size in a Continuous-time Removal Experiment with a Known Sub-population Size Ratio
Authors:Liqun Xi  Paul S F Yip  Ray Watson
Institution:(1) Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Hong Kong Faculty of Science, University of Hong Kong, Zhejiang University of Science, P. R. China;(2) Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong;(3) Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Australia
Abstract:We study a continuous-time removal model for estimating the population size for a population in which a sub-population size ratio is known. The maximum likelihood estimate and the optimal martingale estimate of the population size are obtained; these are shown to be equivalent. A comparison between the proposed estimator and the maximum likelihood estimate which ignores the information on the known size ratio is made, using a simulation study. The asymptotic variances of these two estimators are also obtained, and a comparison between them is made. The sensitivity of mis-specification of the known size ratio is examined. We also apply the corresponding discrete-time model to the proposed continuous-time setting, and study the efficiency of the corresponding discrete-time type estimator relative to the proposed estimator.
Keywords:Asymptotic variance  Continuous-time  Discrete-time  Estimation efficiency  Martingale  MLE  Population size estimation  Removal experiment
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