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基于AHP法的泰安市生态系统脆弱性模糊评价
引用本文:袁明瑞,诸葛玉平,刘蕊. 基于AHP法的泰安市生态系统脆弱性模糊评价[J]. 环境科学与技术, 2011, 34(2): 173-177. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-6504.2011.02.039
作者姓名:袁明瑞  诸葛玉平  刘蕊
作者单位:山东农业大学资源与环境学院,山东,泰安,271018
基金项目:山东省自然科学基金(Y2007D29)
摘    要:采用基于AHP法的模糊评价模型,并通过最大特征根一致性检验、肯达尔一致性检验,全面评价了泰安市2001-2005年生态脆弱度变化情况,结果表明:二级指标中气候因素脆弱度、自然环境因素脆弱度、经济因素脆弱度逐年降低,社会因素脆弱度在较不脆弱的基础上波动,泰安市总生态脆弱度呈现逐年改良趋势;利用线性回归分析,确定自然环境因素是影响泰安市总脆弱度的主导因素,可根据其变化情况为预测泰安市生态脆弱度变化及指导生态建设提供科学依据。

关 键 词:泰安市  生态脆弱性评价  AHP法  模糊评价模型  肯达尔一致性系数  线性回归分析

Fuzzy Evaluation of Tai'an Ecological Vulnerability Based on AHP
YUAN Ming-rui,ZHUGE Yu-ping,LIU Rui. Fuzzy Evaluation of Tai'an Ecological Vulnerability Based on AHP[J]. Environmental Science and Technology, 2011, 34(2): 173-177. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-6504.2011.02.039
Authors:YUAN Ming-rui  ZHUGE Yu-ping  LIU Rui
Affiliation:YUAN Ming-rui,ZHUGE Yu-ping,LIU Rui(School of Resource and Environment,Shandong Agriculture University,Tai'an 271018,China)
Abstract:Fuzzy evaluation model based on analytic hierarchy process(AHP) which is verified by the consistency check of maximal Eigen value and Kendall Text was used to overall assess the change of ecological vulnerability of Tai'an,Shandong Province in the period from 2001 to 2005.Results indicated that natural and environmental factor were confirmed as the dominating factor through linear regression analysis,which would provide scientific basis for predicting the change of ecological vulnerability as well as conduc...
Keywords:Tai'an  ecological vulnerability assessment  analytic hierarchy process(AHP)  fuzzy evaluation model  Kendall Text  linear regression analysis  
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