| 结构物震害预测的灰色贝叶斯方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 李正农 管昌生. 结构物震害预测的灰色贝叶斯方法[J]. 自然灾害学报, 1995, 4(4): 41-46 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李正农 管昌生 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉工业大学，武汉工业大学，武汉工业大学 武汉 430070，武汉 430070，武汉 430070 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文提出了一种结构物震害预测的新方法。该方法棋于贝叶斯理论和灰色系统理论，可以充分考虑到某类结构物震害所表现出的共性和某一特写结构物所具有的特殊性，能作出较全面的反映结构物实际状况的震害预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震工程学 震害预测 贝叶斯理论 结构物 |
THE GREY-BAYES METHOD ON STRUCTURAL DAMAGE PREDICTION OF SEISMIC DISASTERS |
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| Li Zhengnong Guan Changsheng Li Guiqing. THE GREY-BAYES METHOD ON STRUCTURAL DAMAGE PREDICTION OF SEISMIC DISASTERS[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 1995, 4(4): 41-46 |
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| Authors: | Li Zhengnong Guan Changsheng Li Guiqing |
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| Abstract: | Based on Grey system theory and Bayes theory, a new method on structural damage prediction of seismic disasters is established. The results of some examples show that the generality of some catagory of structures and the special features of some structure can be taken into account simultaneously in the method and the predicated results has sufficient precision. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake engineering Prediction of seismic disasters Grey System Theory Bayes Theory |
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