上海港口物流的发展及演化态势

港I口物流的发展已引起众多学者的关注。运用主成分分析方法对近25年上海港口物流的发展演化状况进行了定量测度，港口物流发展综合指数的计算显示，其发展突出表现为以下特征：①港口物流发展整体水平不断提高；②港口物流的发展呈现出明显的阶段性。上述状况的形成是体制及政策环境、区域经济发展及城市综合服务功能支撑、港口基础设施条件改善、周围港口竞争等多种因素长期综合作用的结果，最后展望了上海港口物流未来的发展演化。

Development and Evolvement about Shanghai Port Logistics

The development of the port logistics already caused the concern of numerous course scholars.In this paper,the principal components analysis method was used to measure the development and evolvement of the Shanghai port logistics from 1980 to 2003.By calculating the integrate index of the development about Shanghai port logistics,the authors held some obvious characteristic of this:the total level of the development about Shanghai port logistics was improving;there were some obvious stages of the Shanghai port logistics development.On this basis,the authors discussed some causes of this situation,held that the following factors had profound implications on its evolution: the condition of the nation's policies and systems,the district economic development,the service ability of Shanghai,the change of infrastructure about Shanghai port,the competition of other ports in the Changjiang Delta,and made the forecast of the development and evolvement about Shanghai port logistics.