Spatial modelling for the development of agri-environmental programs

Spatial modelling of environmental indicators has been well established in landscape ecology and in nature conservation on regional and national scales over the recent past. Yet, using spatial information as a basis for the coordination of environmental measures on a trans-national European level reveals several shortcomings and hindrances, ranging from data quality issues and methodological aspects to discussions on how to define ecological indicators across Europe. This paper analyzes the potential of spatial modelling for the development and implementation of agri-environmental measures as part of rural development policies, discussing critical aspects of spatial environmental modelling as well as chances, trends and demands.