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Does more stringent environmental regulation induce or reduce technology adoption? When the rate of technology adoption is inverted U-shaped
Institution:1. Department of Economics and Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 319D Ballard Hall Ext., Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3612, United States;2. Department of Economics, 319D Ballard Hall Ext., Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-3612, United States;3. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Policy, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW (1809T), Washington, DC 20460, United States\n
Abstract:We show that for a broad class of technologies the relationship between policy stringency and the rate of technology adoption is inverted U-shaped. This happens when the marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves of conventional and new technologies intersect, which invariably occurs when emissions are proportional to output and technological progress reduces emissions per output. This outcome does not result from policy failure. On the contrary, in social optimum, the relationship between the slope of the marginal damage curve and the rate of technology adoption is also inverted U-shaped. Under more general conditions, these curves can look even more complicated (e.g., such as inverted W-shaped).
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