|
|||||
|
|
| 网络化关键基础设施依存关系建模与仿真方法研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 刘健,刘晓,吴之立.网络化关键基础设施依存关系建模与仿真方法研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2011,21(10). |
| 作者姓名： | 刘健 刘晓 吴之立 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 上海交通大学中美物流研究院,上海,200240 2. 上海交通大学中美物流研究院,上海200240;上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院,上海200240 3. 上海交通大学机械与动力工程学院,上海,200240 |
| 摘 要： | 针对关键基础设施(CI)依存关系导致的系统级联效应这一问题,在系统化分析网络化CI依存关系建模与仿真的各种方法之上,通过比较各种研究方法的优缺点、适用范围、存在问题,提出采用系统动力学和Multi-Agents混合建模方法,来模拟系统之间的动态关联关系的变化。最后,以一个水资源系统的突发安全事件为例,利用Any-Logic软件对事故所涉及影响到事故系统间的参数进行优化与数值模拟。结果表明:通过该方法优化试验确定事故水系统对其他关联系统的最优供给量,优化该地区的基础设施网络运作能力,同时有效防御系统的级联损失。 |
| 关 键 词： | 关键基础设施(CI) 依存关系 级联效应 系统动力学 Multi-Agent建模仿真 |
Modeling and Simulation on Networked Critical Infrastructure Interdependencies |
|
| LIU Jian,LIU Xiao,WU Zhi-li.Modeling and Simulation on Networked Critical Infrastructure Interdependencies[J].China Safety Science Journal,2011,21(10). | |
| Authors: | LIU Jian LIU Xiao WU Zhi-li |
| Institution: | LIU Jian1 LIU Xiao1,2 WU Zhi-li2(1 Sino-US Global Logistics Institute,Shanghai Jiaotong University,Shanghai200240,China 2 School of Mechanical Engineering,China) |
| Abstract: | This paper addresses a safety issue on critical infrastructure system cascade effects caused by their dependency and interdependency.After systematically summarizing several main methods of modeling and simulation on networked critical infrastructure,a combined methodology of system dynamics model and Multi-Agents simulation technique is proposed firstly.Subsequently,a powerful tool of Any-Logic software is employed to optimize and simulate the cascade effects scenario of water resources system breakdown ca... |
| Keywords: | critical infrastructure(CI) interdependency cascade effects system dynamics multi-agent modeling and simulation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |