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Modeling Human Factors That Affect the Loss of Biodiversity
Authors:Deborah J Forester  Gary E Machlist
Institution:Department of Forest Resources, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, U.S.A.;Department of Forest Resources, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, U.S.A., and National Park Service, 1849 C Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20013, U.S.A., email
Abstract:Within conservation biology human factors are treated as driving forces of biodiversity loss, yet there are few empirical studies on how human actions affect biodiversity. We developed and tested an interdisciplinary model of biodiversity loss using socioeconomic and ecological data from 107 countries and structural equation modeling techniques. Some portions of the model fit the data well, other parts were less predictive. Counterintuitive results may be a result of the quality and availability of cross-national data and statistical limitations in testing a model of such complex processes. This model test provides insight into future research needs for examining human impacts on biodiversity. Issues including data quality, temporal and spatial scale, and model refinement are outlined. The results highlight the importance of relations between human social systems and biodiversity and the potential of interdisciplinary research.
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