突发公共事件应急预案支持系统的研究进展

在分析当今公共安全形势日益严峻的背景下,回顾突发公共事件应急辅助系统国内外的发展状况,指出现有应急辅助系统的进展和不足,并阐明建立应急预案支持系统的重要性。通过对应急预案在文本预案、图文预案以及推演预案3个不同发展阶段的分析,分别评述3种预案支持系统的特点和缺陷,着重对推演预案支持系统在可视化、数字化以及智能化领域的研究进行分析,并以此为基础建立具有预案管理、预案自动生成、预案模拟演示、预案执行跟踪以及预案评估5大模块的突发事件应急预案支持系统,以期通过3S及人工智能等技术的应用不断完善系统,并从功能、技术及系统3个层面,积极探索应急预案支持系统未来可能的研究方向。

Review on the Development of Emergency Response Plan Supporting System

Based on the background analysis of increasingly severe threats to public security, a brief development of Emergence Response Assistant System at home and abroad is first reviewed; the improvements, disadvantages, and the significance of Emergency Protocol Supporting System are pointed out and described. Then three different types of protocols, namely Text Protocol, Graphic Protocol and Deducing Protocol, and their advantages and disadvantages are presented. A focus is put on the advancements of Deducing Protocol Supporting System from three aspects of visualization, digitalization and artificial intelli- gence. Based on the focus analysis, a new Emergency Protocol Supporting System with five modules of protocol management, automatic protocol generation, protocol simulation, protocol tracking and protocol evaluation is established. This system aims to improve the supporting ability of emergency protocol through high-tech such as 3S and artificial intelligence, and is expected to bring forward the possible developing direction of Emergency Protocol Supporting System from three perspectives of functional perfection, technological innovation and systematic advancement.