| 物候因子干旱灾害长期预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 温福光.物候因子干旱灾害长期预报[J].灾害学,1991(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 温福光 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西玉林地区气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 用植物物候现象作为气候预报因子,与长期预报对象建立相关模式,反映气候因子的综合性,具有较好的物理意义。本文主要用茶树、橡胶树的第一个物候现象为预报因子,采取统计分级相关的方法,预报秋季干旱趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 物候现象 气候因子 干旱指标 相关分析 |
LONG TERM PREDICTION OF DROUGHT ON PLANT PHENOLOGICAL FACTOR |
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| Wen Fuguang.LONG TERM PREDICTION OF DROUGHT ON PLANT PHENOLOGICAL FACTOR[J].Journal of Catastrophology,1991(1). |
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| Authors: | Wen Fuguang |
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| Institution: | Meteorological Observatory of Yulin in Guangxi |
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| Abstract: | Using plant phenology as a climatic prediction factor, a correlative modle for long term prediction is built, which reflects the synthetic characters of climatic factors and has better physical meaning. The article introduces a method predicting the trend of drought in Autumn by the statistical grade way in terms of the first phenological phenomenon of tee tree and rubber tree. |
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| Keywords: | Phenological phenomenon Climatic factor Drought index Correlation analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
