城市韧性多因素综合评估模型研究*

为避免突发事件发生时城市系统因缺乏前瞻性防范而造成严重损失，结合城市灾害事件严重度、承灾体脆弱性、适应力、抵御力和恢复力5个城市韧性影响因素，同时考虑相关指标完备性以及数据获取难易程度，构建城市韧性多因素综合评估模型，并结合湖南省实际数据对所建模型进行应用与分析。结果表明:城市韧性多因素综合评估模型基于城市韧性主要特点，可反映城市韧性分布情况，发现城市安全发展中存在的薄弱环节，为相关城市管理者开展城市韧性建设提供决策辅助。

Research on comprehensive assessment model of urban resilience with multi-factor

In order to avoid the serious losses due to the lack of forward-looking prevention in the urban system responding to various emergencies,a comprehensive assessment of urban resilience with multi-factor was constructed,which combined with five factors affecting the urban resilience,such as the severity of urban disaster events,the vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies,adaptability,resistance and recovery,as well as considering the completeness of relevant indexes and the difficulty of obtaining the required data.Finally, the model was applied and analyzed with the actual data of Hunan Province.The results showed that based on the main characteristics of urban resilience,the comprehensive assessment of urban resilience with multi-factor could reflect the distribution of urban resilience,and analyze the weak links existing in the development of urban safety.It can provide decision support for relevant urban managers to carry out the urban resilience construction.