| GM(1,1)模型预测城市区域环境噪声的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈德容,冉涛.GM(1,1)模型预测城市区域环境噪声的应用[J].云南环境科学,2004,23(Z1):162-164. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈德容 冉涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 陈德容（重庆市环境监测中心,重庆,400020）
冉涛（重庆市环境监测中心,重庆,400020） |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了重庆市主城区区域环境噪声污染现状,根据1996～2002年区域环境噪声的监测数据,建立了GM(1,1)灰色预测模型,通过预测探讨了区域环境噪声的变化规律.结果表明,主城区未来几年区域环境噪声呈上升趋势,2003年预测值为57.8分贝.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 GM(1 1)模型 区域环境噪声 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-947X(2004)增-0162-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年11月6日 |
Application of Grey System Theory GM(1,1) Model to Forecast Urban Noise |
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| CHEN De-rong,RAN Tao.Application of Grey System Theory GM(1,1) Model to Forecast Urban Noise[J].Yunnan Environmental Science,2004,23(Z1):162-164. |
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| Authors: | CHEN De-rong RAN Tao |
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| Abstract: | This articles introduces the current noise pollution situation in downtown Chongqing, and the grey forecasting model GM(1,1) established based on noise monitoring data during 1996 to 2002. The trend of regional environmental noise could be gotten through model forecast. Forecast result shows that, noise in downtown area has kept rising in recent years, and the forecasted value for 2003 is 57.8dB. |
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| Keywords: | grey forecast GM(1 1) model regional environmental nosie |
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