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The Path Analysis and Its Application Study on Cultivated Land Change in Hubei Province
作者姓名:Li  Chunhua  Li  Ning  Shi  Peijun
作者单位:Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management of Ministry of Civil Affairs and Ministry of Education, College of Resource Science and Technology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;国家自然科学基金;北京市自然科学基金
摘    要:On the basis of introducing the principle of path analy- sis, this paper positively analyzes the influence factors of culti- vated land change from 1978 to 2002 in Hubei Province. The relationship between the influence factors and cultivated land change is studied by means of the path analysis. The results show that the construction rearrangement of agriculture, grain security and market mechanism are the main factors that decide the culti- vated land change. Meanwhile, the impact of investment, urbani- zation and benefit gap among the different utilizing ways also leads to the change of cultivated land. The result means that though some factors have less direct influence on the change of cultivated land, their indirect influence is significant or vice versa.

关 键 词:湖北  耕地变化  耕地利用  相关分析  路径分析

The Path Analysis and Its Application Study on Cultivated Land Change in Hubei Province
Li Chunhua Li Ning Shi Peijun.The Path Analysis and Its Application Study on Cultivated Land Change in Hubei Province[J].Chinese JOurnal of Population Resources and Environment,2007,5(1):63-67.
Authors:Li Chunhua  Li Ning  Shi Peijun
Abstract:On the basis of introducing the principle of path analysis, this paper positively analyzes the influence factors of cultivated land change from 1978 to 2002 in Hubei Province. The relationship between the influence factors and cultivated land change is studied by means of the path analysis. The results show that the construction rearrangement of agriculture, grain security and market mechanism are the main factors that decide the cultivated land change. Meanwhile, the impact of investment, urbanization and benefit gap among the different utilizing ways also leads to the change of cultivated land. The result means that though some factors have less direct influence on the change of cultivated land. their indirect influence is significant or vice versa.
Keywords:cultivated land change  correlation analysis  path analysis
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