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吉林省经济增长和环境变化的动态关系
引用本文:高迎春,佟连军,马延吉.吉林省经济增长和环境变化的动态关系[J].环境科学研究,2010,23(3):371-376.
作者姓名:高迎春  佟连军  马延吉
作者单位:1.中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所, 吉林 长春 130012;中国科学院研究生院, 北京 100049
基金项目:吉林省科技发展计划项目,中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目,中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所学科前沿领域项目 
摘    要:以吉林省为例,采用无残差完全分解方法和柯布-道格拉斯生产函数,分别提取环境变化和经济增长的驱动因子,在分析共同影响因子对环境系统和经济系统作用差异的基础上,应用异速生长模型分析经济子系统和环境子系统的相对变化关系.结果表明:经济增长和环境变化具有不同的增长维度,环境变化中的规模效应依赖于经济系统中资源要素的投入水平,而驱动经济增长的技术变化因子仅仅是引起环境变化技术效应的一个方面,环境系统的技术变化具有一定的独立性;经济增长和环境变化既有关联性也有差异性,经济系统主导形成二者倒“U”型的数量关系,而环境系统影响因子进一步决定了在何种污染程度上穿越环境高山;环境变化和经济增长的相对速率具有广义分维性质,环境系统和经济系统的负异速生长是实现可持续发展环境目标的根本途径. 

关 键 词:经济增长    环境变化    分维    异速生长    吉林省
收稿时间:2009/9/15 0:00:00
修稿时间:2009/11/16 0:00:00

Study on Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Environmental Change:A Case Study of Jilin Province
GAO Ying-chun,TONG Lian-jun and MA Yan-ji.Study on Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Environmental Change:A Case Study of Jilin Province[J].Research of Environmental Sciences,2010,23(3):371-376.
Authors:GAO Ying-chun  TONG Lian-jun and MA Yan-ji
Institution:1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130012, China;Graduate University, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China2.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130012, China
Abstract:Applying the methods of the non-residual decomposition model and Cobb-Douglas production function,the factors driving environmental changes and economic growth were extracted.The allometric growth law was used to analyze the relative dynamic relationship between economic and environmental subsystems in Jilin Province based on the analysis of the differences in the effects of factors on environmental and economic systems.The results showed that economic growth and environmental changes presented different growing dimensions.The scale effects on environmental changes depended on the input level of resource elements in economic systems.The technical factor driving economic growth was only one of the factors preventing environmental deterioration,and the technical change of environmental system was independent to a certain extent.There were both correlations and differences between economic growth and environmental changes.Economic systems resulted in a reverse "U" quantitative relationship between economic growth and environmental changes,while environmental factors determined on which pollution level environmental systems could get across the "environmental mountain". The relative rate of environmental changes and economic growth was characterized by a generalized fractal dimension.The negative allometric growth between environmental changes and economic growth is the fundamental way to achieve the objective of sustainable development.
Keywords:economic growth  environmental change  fractal dimension  allometric growth  Jilin Province
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