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1997~2004年中国区域经济与火灾态势的关系分析
引用本文:吴松荣.1997~2004年中国区域经济与火灾态势的关系分析[J].火灾科学,2006,15(4):224-231.
作者姓名:吴松荣
作者单位:江西省公安消防总队,江西,南昌,330009;江西财经大学工商管理学院,江西,南昌,330043
摘    要:中国区域经济发展存在较大差异,相应的火灾,隋况也各不相同,本文通过对1997~2004这8年期间的火灾数据的分析,探讨了火灾发展态势在不同地区的特征,并分析了典型地区的火灾和社会经济发展之间的关系。结果表明,当前情况下,随着经济的发展,我国多数地区的火灾发生态势先升高后降低,最后保持平稳;经济较发达的上海地区的火灾发生率已经越过了“最高峰”而趋于平穗好转的时期,此外,同样是经济较发达北京与天津两地的火灾发生率正处于“最高峰”时期,预计在未来几年内其火灾发展将趋于好转。

关 键 词:区域经济  火灾态势  火灾统计
文章编号:1004-5309(2006)-0224-08
收稿时间:2006-08-11
修稿时间:2006-09-13

Relationship between local economic and fire situation in China during 1997~2004
WU Song-rong.Relationship between local economic and fire situation in China during 1997~2004[J].Fire Safety Science,2006,15(4):224-231.
Authors:WU Song-rong
Institution:1. The Department of Fire Protection in Jiangxi Province, Jiangxi, Nanchang, 330009; 2. Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, School of Business Administration, Jiangxi, Nanchang, 330043
Abstract:There is quite a lot of difference among the local economies in different provinces in China. The corresponding fire situations are also different. Through the analyses on the fire data in 1997-2004, the fire situations in different areas are investigated. The relationship between the fire situation and economy in representative areas is also analyzed. The results illustrate that currently, as the developing of economies, the fire situations in most areas of China become worse before getting better. The fire situation in Shanghai, whose economy is better, is getting better. In addition, for the Beijing and Tianjin, whose economies are also developed, the corresponding fire situations will get better in the following few years, too.
Keywords:Local economy  Fire situation  Fire Statistic
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