Long-term trends and characteristics of visibility in two megacities in southwest China: Chengdu and Chongqing

Visibility is a good indicator of air quality because it reflects the combined influences of atmospheric pollutants and synoptic processes. Trends in visibility and relationships with various factors in Chengdu and Chongqing, two megacities in southwest China, were analyzed using daily data from National Climatic Data Center and the Air Pollution Index (API) of the Ministry of Environmental Protection of China. Average annual visibility during the period of 1973–2010 was 8.1 ± 3.9 in Chengdu and 6.2 ± 4.3 km in Chongqing. PM₁₀ dominates the reported primary pollutants in both cities, although concentrations have decreased from a high of 127.9 and 150 µg m³ before 2005 to 100.4 and 93.5 µg m^?3 in Chengdu and Chongqing, respectively. Low average visibility and extremely high levels of PM10 were observed in winter, whereas relative humidity had irregular and weak seasonal variations. Visibility in both cities has deteriorated in comparison to the 1960s and 1970s, mostly due to the elevation of optical depth caused by anthropogenic pollution.

Correlations and principal component analysis (PCA) were undertaken to determine the key factors affecting visibility. Visibility was only moderately correlated with PM₁₀. In Chengdu, visibility displayed weak correlations with various factors, whereas visibility in Chongqing was most strongly related to relative humidity due to the atmospheric particulates in the region containing more hygroscopic components. PCA results further confirmed that high relative humidity and low wind speed increased the occurrence of low visibility events under high PM₁₀ concentrations. Temperature and pressure, as indicators of weather systems, also played important roles in affecting visibility. Mathematical models of visibility prediction indicated that wind speed had the largest coefficients among all meteorological factors, and reductions in PM₁₀ concentration only led to minor improvements in visibility.

Implications: Long-term data indicates that visibility in Chengdu and Chongqing has been lower than 10 km since the 1970s, and the poor visibility primarily results from anthropogenic pollution. Although PM₁₀ concentrations have decreased consistently to around 100 μg m^?3, trends of visibility have shown no improvement but much fluctuation. Correlation and principal component analysis demonstrate that low visibility in Chengdu is influenced by high relative humidity, while in Chongqing the degrading visibility is related with high relative humidity and pressure and low wind speed under a stable weather system. The results are important to understand the widespread haze event in the two megacities of southwest China.