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基于模糊概率的震害预测模型及其应用
引用本文:刘章军,叶燎原.基于模糊概率的震害预测模型及其应用[J].自然灾害学报,2005,14(4):115-120.
作者姓名:刘章军  叶燎原
作者单位:1. 三峡大学,土木水电学院,湖北,宜昌,443002;同济大学,建筑工程系,上海,200092
2. 云南大学,云南,昆明,650091
摘    要:将模糊数学中的模糊概率理论应用于震害预测之中,建立了模糊概率的震害预测模型.并应用此模型对单层砖排架柱厂房进行了震害预测;算例表明,该预测模型概念清晰,计算简单,效果较好.

关 键 词:模糊概率  震害预测模型  单层砖排架柱厂房
文章编号:1004-4574(2005)04-0115-06
收稿时间:2004-07-22
修稿时间:2004-07-222004-12-22

Fuzzy probability-based seismic damage prediction model and its application
LIU Zhang-jun,YE Liao-yuan.Fuzzy probability-based seismic damage prediction model and its application[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,2005,14(4):115-120.
Authors:LIU Zhang-jun  YE Liao-yuan
Institution:1. Civil Engineering and Hydropower College, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, China; 2. Department of Building Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; 3. Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, China
Abstract:Based on fuzzy probability theory in the fuzzy mathes, a new model of seismic lished, At the same time,the suggested frame column industrial buildings. The damage prediction is estabmodel are applied to prediction of seismic damage of single-story brick bent result indicates that the model is reasonable, simple and effective.
Keywords:fuzzy probability  model of seismic damage prediction  single-story brick bent frame column industrial buildings
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