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三种与地质灾害相关的突发性气象灾害应急预报系统研究新进展
引用本文:谭季青,章志英,戚丹青,徐娟,袁小超,郑朝霞.三种与地质灾害相关的突发性气象灾害应急预报系统研究新进展[J].防灾科技学院学报,2010,12(4).
作者姓名:谭季青  章志英  戚丹青  徐娟  袁小超  郑朝霞
作者单位:浙江大学气象信息与灾害预测研究所,杭州,310027
基金项目:东亚台风水汽场非一致连续性的诊断及其数值模拟(批准号:40875091); 东亚大尺度天气过程的实际可预报性研究(批准号:40475043); 非连续性污染物长距离输送的数值模拟研究(批准号:40345025); 中科院大气物理所联合创新青年学者计划项目:全球格点大气环流模式GAMIL模式水汽平流输送新方案; 中国气象局灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题:台风预报中非连续性水汽源长距离输送研究
摘    要:本文介绍了在火山灰、核放射性物质和强沙尘暴引发的沙尘粒子的长距离输送数值模拟领域里近年来获得的有关新进展。其基本进展是:1)引进美国NOAA空气资源研究所的HYSPLIT-4模式。并以此为核心形成火山灰、核放射性物质和强沙尘暴的浓度与轨迹数值模拟与预报系统。2)提出一个非连续性空间分布污染场的平流输送方案。3)新发现一个数值模式中的误差污染机制。

关 键 词:火山灰  核放射性物质  强沙尘暴  HYSPLIT4模式  数值模拟  长距离输送  

New Progresses on the Study of Emergency Forecasting Systems of Three kinds of Sudden-happening Meteorological Disaster Events Related to Geological Disaster Events
Tan Jiqing,Zhang Zhiying,Qi Danqing,Xu Juan,Yuan Xiaochao,Zheng Zhaoxia.New Progresses on the Study of Emergency Forecasting Systems of Three kinds of Sudden-happening Meteorological Disaster Events Related to Geological Disaster Events[J].Journal of Institute of Disaster-prevention Science and Technology,2010,12(4).
Authors:Tan Jiqing  Zhang Zhiying  Qi Danqing  Xu Juan  Yuan Xiaochao  Zheng Zhaoxia
Institution:Tan Jiqing,Zhang Zhiying,Qi Danqing,Xu Juan,Yuan Xiaochao,Zheng Zhaoxia (Institution of Meteorological Information and the Prediction of Disaster Events,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang 310027)
Abstract:In this paper,some progresses are introduced on the simulation study of the long distance transport of volcano ashes,nuclear radioactive pollutants and severe dust storms.The basic progresses are 1) The American HYSPLIT-4 model of Air Resource Laboratory has been successfully introduced to form the forecasting system of volcano ashes,nuclear radioactive pollutants and severe dust storms.2) A new advection scheme has been developed to simulate discontinuous fields of pollutants.3) An error contamination mech...
Keywords:volcano ash  nuclear radioactive material  severe dust storms  HYSPLIT-4 model  numerical simulation  long distance transport    
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