行为经济学视角的农民工隐性户籍墙分析

20世纪70年代滞涨后,大量无法解释应对的现实问题让人们意识到,主流经济学关于人的基本假设存在不足,在经济研究中结合人的心理的探讨是必要的。为解释现实中农民工不积极申请积分制入户,文章利用二元Logistic模型对武汉市数据进行了分析,并基于行为经济学中的失望/后悔效应、牺牲陷阱、偏见与错觉理论解释了结果,提出作为户籍制度衍生的社会屏蔽,隐性户籍墙应囊括由二元户籍导致的对农民和市民在社会生活一切方面的歧视,其对农民工农转非选择的作用不仅在于这些客观歧视,还在于农民工面对歧视时的主观心理。改革开放后,我国大规模的人口流动持续至今,未来相当长的时期内还会日趋活跃,尤以农民工的流动突出,凸显农民工市民化的重要性。当前,农民工对市民化的犹豫不愿意,反映户籍改革及其配套制度的建立完善不到位,其与促进农民工市民化、城镇化、实现城乡一体化的要求尚有差距。

Hidden Household Wall of Peasant Workers:An Analysis from Behavioral Economics Perspective

After the stagflation in the 1970s,a large number of practical problems that can not be explained make people aware that there are shortcomings in the basic assumptions of mainstream economics about man,and it is necessary to make an economic study combined with the research of human psychology.To explore the phenomenon that peasant workers do not actively apply for non-agricultural registered permanent residence through points system,this paper uses a binary logistic model to analyze data from Wuhan,explaining the empirical result based on disappointment / regret effects,sacrifice trap,and prejudice and illusion theory of behavioral economics.It is suggested that derived from the household registration system,hidden household wall as a social mask should include discrimination caused by the dual household registration system in all aspects of social life between peasants and citizens,and its influence on peasant workers’ citizenship choices not only lies in such objective discrimination,but also in peasants’ subjective psychological condition when facing discrimination.Since the reform and opening-up,China’s massive population migration has been continuing and will be increasingly active for a long period in the future,especially the flow of peasant workers,which shows the importance of peasant workers’ citizenization.Currently,peasant workers’ hesitation and unwillingness toward it reflect that the household registration reform has a long way to go and so has the establishment and promotion of its supporting system,and there is still a gap between its current condition and the requirements of the promotion of peasant workers’ citizenization,urbanization,and rural-urban integration.