From Site Data to Safety Assessment: Analysis of Present and Future Hydrological Conditions at a Coastal Site in Sweden |
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Authors: | Sten Berglund Emma Bosson Mona Sassner |
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Institution: | 1. HydroResearch AB, Stora Marknadsv?gen 15S (12th Floor), 183 34, T?by, Sweden 2. Swedish Nuclear Fuel and Waste Management Co (SKB), Box 250, 101 24, Stockholm, Sweden 3. DHI Sverige AB, Svartmangatan 18, 111 29, Stockholm, Sweden
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Abstract: | This paper presents an analysis of present and future hydrological conditions at the Forsmark site in Sweden, which has been proposed as the site for a geological repository for spent nuclear fuel. Forsmark is a coastal site that changes in response to shoreline displacement. In the considered time frame (until year 10 000 ad), the hydrological system will be affected by landscape succession associated with shoreline displacement and changes in vegetation, regolith stratigraphy, and climate. Based on extensive site investigations and modeling of present hydrological conditions, the effects of different processes on future site hydrology are quantified. As expected, shoreline displacement has a strong effect on local hydrology (e.g., groundwater flow) in areas that change from sea to land. The comparison between present and future land areas emphasizes the importance of climate variables relative to other factors for main hydrological features such as water balances. |
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