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The empirical modeling of an ecosystem
Authors:Robert E Ulanowicz  David A Flemer  Donald R Heinle  Rogers T Huff
Institution:Center for Environmental and Estuarine Studies, University of Maryland, P.O. Box 38, Solomons, Md. 20688 U.S.A.
Abstract:The authors have endeavored to create a verified a-posteriori model of a planktonic ecosystem. Verification of an empirically derived set of first-order, quadratic differential equations proved elusive due to the sensitivity of the model system to changes in initial conditions. Efforts to verify a similarly derived set of linear differential equations were more encouraging, yielding reasonable behavior for half of the ten ecosystem compartments modeled. The well-behaved species models gave indications as to the rate-controlling process in the ecosystem.
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