A comparison of employment growth and stability before and after the Fort Worth tornado |
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Authors: | Bradley T Ewing Jamie B Kruse Mark A Thompson |
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Institution: | 1. Area of Information Systems and Quantitative Sciences , Rawls College of Business, Texas Tech University , Lubbock , TX , 79409-2101 , USA;2. Wind Science and Engineering Research Center , Texas Tech University , Lubbock , TX , 79409 , USA;3. Wind Science and Engineering Research Center , Texas Tech University , Lubbock , TX , 79409 , USA;4. Department of Economics and Center for Natural Hazards Mitigation , East Carolina University , Greenville , NC , 27858-4353 , USA;5. Department of Economics and Finance , Stephen F. Austin State University , Nacogdoches , TX , 75962-3009 , USA |
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Abstract: | This study examined the time series pattern of employment growth and stability in Fort Worth, Texas taking into account the March 28, 2000 tornado. The tornado is treated econometrically as an intervention and both the mean and conditional variance of employment growth were estimated. Overall, this regional labor market experienced a decline in the employment growth rate following the tornado. Among the sectors that exhibited differences in employment dynamics between the pre- and post-tornado periods, the mining sector experienced a significant increase in employment growth following the tornado while the service andwholesale, retail trade sectors experienced significant declines in employment growth in the post-tornado period. The manufacturing, service, and wholesale, retail trade sectors were characterized by greater stability (i.e., a lower level of employment growth volatility) in the post-tornado period than in the pre-tornado period. Interestingly, in several sectors, no differences in the time series dynamics of employment growth were detected between the pre- and post-tornado periods. These sectors included construction, finance, insurance, real estate, government, and transportation and public utilities. |
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Keywords: | Fort Worth Employment growth Labor market risk Tornadoes Intervention analysis |
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