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Crash risk factors for novice motorcycle riders
Institution:1. The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, NSW, Australia;2. School of Public Health & Community Medicine, UNSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia;3. Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety – Queensland (CARRS-Q), Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Brisbane, Queensland, Australia;4. University of Technology Sydney (UTS), Graduate School of Health, Sydney, NSW, Australia;5. Global Road Safety Solutions (GRSS) Pty Ltd, NSW, Australia;6. Deakin University Institute for Frontier Materials, Geelong, Victoria, Australia;7. School of Aviation, Transport and Road Safety (TARS) Research, Faculty of Science, UNSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia;8. Ngarruwan Ngadju, Australian Health Services Research Institute, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia;1. Division of Psychology, School of Social Sciences, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham, UK;2. Human Systems Integration Group, Faculty of Engineering and Computing, Coventry University, Coventry, UK;3. Human Factors Research Group, Faculty of Engineering, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK;1. Loughborough Design School, Loughborough University, LE11 3TU, UK;2. Department of Psychology, Eastern Mediterranean University, Famagusta, North Cyprus, Mersin 10, Turkey;1. School of Engineering and Mathematical Sciences, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria, 3086, Australia;2. Institute of Construction Engineering, University of Transport and Communications, Hanoi, Viet Nam;3. School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University, Melbourne, Victoria, 3001, Australia;1. Centre for Applied Health Research, St. Joseph’s Care Group, 580 North Algoma Street, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5G4, Canada;2. Centre for Research on Safe Driving, Lakehead University, 955 Oliver Road, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada;3. Northern Ontario School of Medicine, Human Sciences Division, Lakehead University, 955 Oliver Road, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada;4. Department of Psychology, Lakehead University, 955 Oliver Road, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada;5. Department of Health Sciences, Lakehead University, 955 Oliver Road, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada;6. School of Nursing, Lakehead University, 955 Oliver Road, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada;1. Autoliv Vehicle Safety System Technical Center, Shanghai, China;2. Swedish Transport Administration, Borlänge, Sweden;3. VicRoads, Victoria State Government, Melbourne, Australia;4. Veoneer Sweden, Vårgårda, Sweden;5. Autoliv Research, Vårgårda, Sweden
Abstract:Background: Motorcycle riders have the highest injury and fatality rates among all road users. This research sought in-depth understanding of crash risk factors to help in developing targeted measures to reduce motorcycle crash injuries and fatalities. Methods: We used interview data from a study of 2,399 novice motorcycle riders in Victoria, Australia from 2010 to 2012 linked with their police-recorded crash and offence data. The outcome measure was self and/or police reported crash. The association between potential risk factors and crashes was explored in multivariable logistic regression models. Results: In the multivariable analysis, riders who reported being involved in three or more near crashes had 1.74 times (95% CI 1.11–2.74) higher odds of crashing compared to riders who reported no near-crash events, and riders who participated in a pre-learner course had 1.41 times higher odds of crashing (95% CI 1.07–1.87) compared with riders who did not attend a pre-learner course. Riders who had been involved in a crash before the study had 1.58 times (95% CI 1.14–2.19) higher odds of crashing during the study period compared with riders who were not involved in a crash. Each additional month of having held a license and learner permit decreased the odds of crashing by 2%, and each additional 1,000 km of riding before the study increased the odds of crashing by 2%. Conclusion: Measures of pre-learner training and riding experience were the strongest predictors of crashing in this cohort of novice motorcycle riders. At the time of the study there was no compulsory rider training to obtain a learner permit in Victoria and no on-road courses were available. It may be plausible that riders who voluntarily participated in an unregulated pre-learner course became or remained at high risk of crash after obtaining a rider license. We suggest systematically reviewing the safety benefits of voluntary versus mandatory pre-learner and learner courses and the potential need to include on-road components.
Keywords:Motorcycle  Novice rider  Crash  Risk-factor  Australia
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