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Parameterizing,evaluating and comparing metapopulation models with data from individual-based simulations
Authors:Frank M. Hilker  Martin Hinsch  Hans Joachim Poethke
Affiliation:1. Institute of Environmental Systems Research, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Osnabrück, 49069 Osnabrück, Germany;2. University of Groningen, CEES, Kerklaan 30, 9751NN Haren, The Netherlands;3. Field Station Fabrikschleichach, Julius-Maximilians-University of Würzburg, Glashüttenstr. 5, 96181 Rauhenebrach, Germany
Abstract:Due to the lack of sufficient data and appropriate ecological information parameterizing predictive population dynamical models usually is a difficult task. The approach proposed in this study is meant to overcome this problem by using detailed individual-based simulations to generate artificial data. With short-term data samples, the models to be investigated can be parameterized and their predictions be compared. The flexibility of individual-based simulations as experimental tools also facilitates the evaluation and comparison of different (aggregated) model types. The presented approach is a step towards unifying models of different complexity. As an example we applied it to two metapopulation models of insect species in a highly fragmented landscape: the well-known incidence function model with a patch-based representation of space and a grid-based analogue. The models are tested with respect to their data requirement and recommendations for a better data sampling are derived.
Keywords:Model comparison   Parameterization   Metapopulation   Individual-based model   Incidence function model   Grid-based
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