Response of Georges Bank cod to periodic and nonperiodic oil spill events |
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Authors: | Mark Reed Malcolm L Spaulding |
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Institution: | (1) Applied Science Associates, Inc., 529 Main Street, 02879 Wakefield, Rhode Island;(2) Ocean Engineering, University of Rhode Island, 02881 Kingston, Rhode Island |
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Abstract: | In the management of conflicting dual-resource systems such as continental shelf hydrocarbon extraction and commercial fishing operations, it is necessary to consider the possibility of repeated impact events. The potential magnitude of impacts on Georges Bank fisheries of single oil spill events has been addressed in detail elsewhere (Reed and Spaulding 1979, Reed and others 1980, Spaulding and others 1982). An oil spill-fishery impact estimation model, implemented for the Georges Bank cod fishery (Reed and others 1980), has been used to investigate the potential for nonlinear biological responses to periodic and nonperiodic repetitive spill events. Prerecruit mortality equations incorporating young-of-the-year as well as adult-juvenile interactions, perform acceptably vis-à-vis the historical catch record, but show highly variable behavior under recruitment reductions induced by periodic simulated spills. The results demonstrate the importance of selecting mathematical representations of biological and physical processes underlying population dynamics such that characteristic system behavior is adequately represented in both the time and frequency domains. |
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Keywords: | Oil spill modeling Fish population dynamics Environmental impact assessment |
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