湖南省经济增长的资源环境代价评估

应用“含资源与环境项目的社会会计矩阵”（SAMRE）方法及其数学模型计算湖南省1991～1999年资源净产值、环境净产值和真实储蓄值。结果显示，湖南省资源净产值与环境净产值每年损失幅度为4.00亿～99.01亿元，占全省每年GDP比重的0.48％～3.18％，平均占2.35％。真实国民储蓄比传统国民经济核算体系的净储蓄减少10.41亿～109.60亿元，占全省每年GDP比重的1.25％～3.52％，平均占2.84％。分析表明自然资源损失与环境污染已成为湖南省经济总量增长的沉重代价，其发展呈弱可持续性特征。分析结果还同时显示，近年来资源与环境净产值损失占全省GDP的比重总体呈下降趋势，真实储蓄比重逐渐上升。

COST EVALUATION OF RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT FOR THE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN HUNAN PROVINCE

The theory of Social Accounting Matrix including Resources and Environment (SAMRE) was used in this article to calculate the net resource product (NRP), net environment product (NEP), and genuine saving (Sg) for the period of 1991~1999 for Hunan Province, and to evaluate quantitatively the cost of resources and environment during the economic development processes of this province. The total annual lost was ￥ 4.00×108 to￥ 99.01×108 for NRP and NEP, accounting for 0.48% to 3.18% of GDP with the average of 2.35%. Genuine saving was about ￥ 10.41×108 to￥ 109.60×108, accounting for 1.25% to 3.52% of GDP with the average of 2.84%. From the research, the resource and environment cost of the economic development for Hunan Province (from 1991 to 1999) was very heavy. Fortunately, the lost decreased in recent years, and the proportion of Sg in Hunans GDP began rising.