| 安徽省耕地资源动态变化及驱动机制研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 汪洪波,章剑龙,吕春莲,齐亚鸣,唐文兵. 安徽省耕地资源动态变化及驱动机制研究[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2007, 23(6): 511-513,516 |
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| 作者姓名： | 汪洪波 章剑龙 吕春莲 齐亚鸣 唐文兵 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽师范大学,国土资源与旅游学院,安徽,芜湖,241000 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据安徽省多年的统计资料，运用主成分分析法研究耕地的动态变化特点及动力机制。结果表明，影响安徽省耕地变化的因素有两个方面：人口社会经济因素和土地生产力要素。并在此基础上，建立多元线性回归模型，对安徽省耕地变化的趋势进行科学的预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 耕地变化 驱动机制 主成分分析 多元回归模型 安徽省 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-8141（2007）06-0511-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-272007-05-12 |
Studies on Changing and Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources in Anhui Province |
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| WANG Hong-bo,ZHANG Jian-long,L Chun-lian,QI Ya-ming,TANG Wen-bing. Studies on Changing and Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources in Anhui Province[J]. Resource Development & Market, 2007, 23(6): 511-513,516 |
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| Authors: | WANG Hong-bo ZHANG Jian-long L Chun-lian QI Ya-ming TANG Wen-bing |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Hong-bo,ZHANG Jian-long,L(U) Chun-lian,QI Ya-ming,TANG Wen-bing |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical and survey data of Anhui Province,trend of cultivated land- use and its driving mechanism were discussed in the paper. Utilizing the principal component analytical method and analyzing driving factor that influenced farmland change of Anhui Province, the result included two factor that was population - economy and that of land productive force. A linear multi - regression model was thus made in the end, the authors tried to predict the current and quantity of the farmland change. |
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| Keywords: | change of cultivated land social driving mechanism principal component analytical method linear multi - regression model Anhui Province |
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