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Modelling temporal and spatial variability in tag reporting-rates for Newfoundland cod (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Gadus morhua</Emphasis>)
Authors:Email authorEmail author  John?Brattey  Noel?G?Cadigan
Institution:1.Center for Fisheries Ecosystem Research,Marine Institute of Memorial University of Newfoundland,St. John’s,Canada;2.Science Branch, Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada,St. John’s,Canada
Abstract:Mark–recapture experiments can be used to estimate the exploitation rate of a fishery; however, the estimate is influenced by the tag reporting-rate by the fishers. We present two methods to estimate the reporting rates in high/low reward ($100 and $10 CAD respectively) long-term cod tagging experiments. We fit two binomial logistic mixed-effect models, one with temporal auto-correlation in the reporting-rate year-effects and one with independent year-effects. We estimate reporting-rates separately for recreational and commercial fishers, and test for spatial variation using fixed-effects for spatial regions. Due to the complexity of the fishery, our models account for factors such as recapture-fishery type, fish-size and time-at-liberty. Our results indicate that the recreational fishers reporting-rate was constant at 0.51 across all regions and years. The commercial fishery showed more spatial and temporal variation, with the reporting-rates estimates lying between 0.67 and 0.87 for the independent year-effect model, and between 0.57 and 0.84 for the random walk model. Furthermore, we assessed the model performance as well as the coverage probability of nominal 95 % confidence intervals using simulations. We found that the models performed adequately; however, the nominal 95 % confidence intervals tended to be too narrow.
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