上海市用水量与经济发展的关系研究

选取上海市1998～2006年的用水量、经济数据，通过人均GDP与人均用水量之间的关系，探索上海市用水量与经济发展是否存在环境库兹涅茨曲线关系，剖析上海市经济增长与用水量的演变规律，结果表明：上海市经济增长与用水量之间不符合一般的环境库兹涅茨曲线特征，重新建立了曲线模型，通过模型计量分析，人均总用水量，人均农业用水量，人均生活用水量与人均GDP曲线均为“U＋倒U”形，而人均工业用水量人均GDP曲线为“倒U＋U”形，为合理开发上海市水资源提供较为科学严谨的依据。

Rearch of the Relationship Between Water Use and Economic Growth of Shanghai

Through on the analysis of 1998-2006 GDP per capita and water use per capita, Environmental Kuznets Curve has been established for determining the relationship of GDP per capita and water use per capita. The result show that the relation of GDP per capita and water use per capita do not accord with the commonly rule of Environmental Kuznets Curve. Through on the analysis of new model, the result show that the relationship of GDP per capita and total water use per capita, agriculture water use per capita and living water use per capita presents a U ＋ inverted - U pattern, while the relationship of GDP per capita and industry water use per capita is a - U ＋ inverted U pattern. It provides a theory for the water resource in Shanghai.