| 历史洪水在洪水序列隐含周期分析中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱颖元,石凝,董爱红.历史洪水在洪水序列隐含周期分析中的应用[J].灾害学,2004,19(1):46-53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱颖元 石凝 董爱红 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 福州大学土木建筑工程学院,福建,福州,350002
2. 福建省水文水资源勘测局,福建,福州,350001 |
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| 摘 要： | 历史洪水调查是洪水序列的重要组成部分,对揭示洪水序列的周期,论证周期的稳定性和可靠性具有重要的作用.本文提出具有历史洪水调查的不连序序列三种周期分析模型,理论分析和实例计算结果表明,文中提出的模型是合理和可行的.
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| 关 键 词： | 历史洪水 不连序洪水序列 周期分析模型 功率谱方法 周期图方法 方差分析法 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-811X(2004)01-0046-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年8月25日 |
The Application of Historical Flood to the Identifying Cryptic Period of Flood Time Series |
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| ZHU Ying-yuan,SHI Ning,DONG Ai-hong.The Application of Historical Flood to the Identifying Cryptic Period of Flood Time Series[J].Journal of Catastrophology,2004,19(1):46-53. |
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| Authors: | ZHU Ying-yuan SHI Ning DONG Ai-hong |
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| Institution: | ZHU Ying-yuan~1,SHI Ning~2,DONG Ai-hong~2 |
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| Abstract: | Historical flood investigation, being an important part of flood, involves some properties of flood time series. Thus it is very important and useful for historical flood investigation to reveal the flood periods and ascertain the stability and reliability of the period. In this paper three improved periodic analysis models which can be used to identify incomplete flood time series with cataclysm and/or lacunae are presented. Theoretical analysis and calculated results show that the models are available and reasonable. |
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| Keywords: | historical flood incomplete flood time series periodic analysis model power spectral analysis periodogram analysis variance analysis |
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