Application of fuzzy sets and cognitive maps to incorporate social science scenarios in integrated assessment modelsA case study of urbanization in Ujung Pandang, Indonesia |
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| Authors: | Jean-Luc de Kok Milan Titus Herman G Wind |
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| Institution: | (1) Department of Civil Engineering Technology & Management, Faculty of Technology and Management, Twente University, PO Box 217, 7500 AE Enschede, The Netherlands;(2) Department of Human Geography of Developing Countries, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, Utrecht University, PO Box 80115, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | Decision–support systems in the field of integrated water management could benefit considerably from social science knowledge,
as many environmental changes are human-induced. Unfortunately the adequate incorporation of qualitative social science concepts
in a quantitative modeling framework is not straightforward. The applicability of fuzzy set theory and fuzzy cognitive maps
for the integration of qualitative scenarios in a decision–support system was examined for the urbanization of the coastal
city of Ujung Pandang, Indonesia. The results indicate that both techniques are useful tools for the design of integrated
models based on a combination of concepts from the natural and social sciences.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. |
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| Keywords: | integrated assessment modeling decision– support systems fuzzy set theory fuzzy cognitive maps scenario analysis |
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