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Past,present and future of Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) and the incentive it obtained from Land-Use Planning (LUP)
Institution:1. Mary Kay O''Connor Process Safety Center (MKOPSC), Artie McFerrin Department of Chemical Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3122, USA;2. Antwerp Research Group on Safety and Security (ARGoSS), University of Antwerp, Koningstraat 8, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium;3. Centre for Economics and Corporate Sustainability (CEDON), HUB, KULeuven, Stormstraat 2, 1000 Brussels, Belgium;1. Safety Science Group, Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands;2. Research Chair Vandeputte, Universiteit van Antwerpen, Belgium;3. Law Enforcement, Rechtenfaculteit, Universiteit van Antwerpen, Belgium;4. Antwerp Research Group on Safety and Security (ARGoSS), Faculteit toegepaste Economie, Universiteit van Antwerpen, Belgium;5. National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands;1. Faculty of Applied Economics, Research Groups ANT/OR, University of Antwerp, Prinsstraat 13, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium;2. Safety Science Group, TU Delft, Jaffalaan 5, 2628 BX Delft, The Netherlands;3. Center for Corporate Sustainability (CEDON), HUB, KULeuven, Stormstraat 2, 1000 Brussels, Belgium;1. LSPC - EA 4704, INSA de Rouen - Normandie Université, Avenue de l’Université, 76801 St. Étienne du Rouvray, France;2. LITIS - EA 4108, Université du Havre - Normandie Université, 25 rue Ph. Lebon, 76058 Le Havre, France;3. LISES - Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile, Chimica, Ambientale e dei Materiali, Alma Mater Studiorum -Università di Bologna, via Terracini n.28, 40131 Bologna, Italy
Abstract:This paper tells the story about the development of Quantitative Risk Assessment, how it was conceptualized in the early 1970s in the nuclear industry, how it was employed within the chemical industry soon after, and what its status is today. The different purposes of QRA are explained, and we elaborate on one of the purposes, that is, Land-Use Planning. The role of Professor Ben Ale, as a process safety pioneer, is discussed throughout the history. We finally provide some on-going state-of-the-art research and projects to further improve QRA approaches, and we sketch the future of QRA and its relation with LUP.
Keywords:Land-Use Planning  Risk policy  Quantitative Risk Assessment
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