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基于马尔科夫模型的芜湖市景观格局演变研究
引用本文:李祥,王心源,张广胜,夏林益,何慧. 基于马尔科夫模型的芜湖市景观格局演变研究[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2006, 22(1): 20-23
作者姓名:李祥  王心源  张广胜  夏林益  何慧
作者单位:1. 安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院遥感实验室,安徽,芜湖,241000
2. 安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院遥感实验室,安徽,芜湖,241000;中国科技大学地球与空间科学系,安徽,合肥,230026
基金项目:安徽省自然科学基金;安徽省教育厅自然科学基金;中国科技大学校科研和教改项目;安徽师范大学校科研和教改项目
摘    要:在遥感和地理信息系统的支持下,利用1996年和2003年2个时期的Landsat—TM假彩色合成影像作为信息源,获取芜湖市景观类型的转化数据,并结合国土局的土地详查数据,确定相应的转移概率矩阵,应用马尔科夫过程模拟土地类型景观的动态演变情况和未来演变的趋势。结果表明,随着城市化过程的发展,研究区内各种土地类型不断地向城市用地转化。

关 键 词:马尔科夫模型  景观格局演变  模拟与预测  芜湖市
文章编号:1005-8141(2006)01-0020-04
收稿时间:2005-12-09
修稿时间:2006-01-05

Dynamic Change in Landscape Pattern of Wuhu Based on Markov Model
LI Xiang,WANG Xin-yuan,ZHANG Guang-sheng,XIA Lin-yi,HE Hui. Dynamic Change in Landscape Pattern of Wuhu Based on Markov Model[J]. Resource Development & Market, 2006, 22(1): 20-23
Authors:LI Xiang  WANG Xin-yuan  ZHANG Guang-sheng  XIA Lin-yi  HE Hui
Affiliation:1. Laboratory of RS Application of College of National Territorial Resource and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000; 2. School of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026
Abstract:Based on GIS and KS, making use of Land.sat - TM image of 1996 -2003 period as resource , and the development of landscape pattern in Wuhu were quantitatively analyzed during those two period, and combined the sifting data. The transition probability matrices at two primary states were established. Then, the development and the future tendency of landscape patterns in Wuhu were simulated and forecasted with Markov Model. And the result showed that with the development of urbanization, all different natural areas were tuming into urban area.
Keywords:change of landscape pattern   Markov Model   simtdation and forecast   Wuhu City
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