海洋经济可持续发展指数的构建及实证研究:以上海为例

随着人类对海洋的不断开发和海洋环境的日益恶化,正确评价海洋经济的可持续发展能力显得尤为必要。然而目前关于构建一种能够描述海洋经济可持续发展水平的指标的研究却很少。本文试图构建海洋经济可持续发展指数,用以直观地反映海洋经济可持续发展能力。文章选取了4类指标用来建立海洋经济可持续发展指标体系:区域发展、海洋经济、海洋资源与环境、海洋人才与技术,并采用层次分析法与灰色关联分析相结合的方法用于各指标权重的计算,并以上海为案例,对上海海洋经济可持续发展指数的构建与应用进行了实证分析。本文构建的指数可以用来对不同国家或地区的海洋经济可持续发展水平进行纵向或横向比较,研究结果可以为相关部门提供决策支持,具有实用价值。

The establishment of marine economy sustainable development index and its empirical research:a case study in Shanghai

With the constant marine exploitation and the worsening marine environment,it is crucial to evaluate the capability of the sustainable development of marine economy.However,few studies havebeenconductedtoestablish an index to describe the level of the sustainable development of marine economy.The purpose of this paper isto propose an index about the sustainable development of marine economy,namely MESDI.Four categories of indicators were used to establishthe sustainable development indicator system:regional development,marine economy,marine resources and environment,and marine talent and technology.A combination of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey correlation analysis (GRA) was applied in the weighting of the indicators.In addition,a case study was carried out to show how the MESDI was established and applied in Shanghai.The MESDI can be used to measure the level of the sustainable development of marine economy and to make longitudinal or horizontal comparison ofdifferent countries or areas.The results of the study may be useful todecision-makers.