剧烈人类活动区经济发展与环境污染水平关系--以广东省东莞市为例

近年来，经济发展与环境污染之间的关系成了社会经济发展的热点问题。本研究选取东莞市1990-2010年经济与环境数据，探究环境库兹涅茨曲线演替轨迹，得出研究时段内东莞市环境库兹涅茨曲线大体呈“倒U型”特征，其中“倒U型”峰值大约出现在2007年人均GDP为4.51万元时；工业废水、工业废气以及工业废渣排放量3项指标的环境库兹涅茨曲线，分别呈现弱的“倒U型”、“倒U型上升阶段”、“倒U型＋倒U型上升阶段”特征。结果表明，东莞市环境库兹涅茨曲线特征与污染物排放量、产业结构、环保政策及投资等有较为密切的关系。结论建议：东莞市可以通过调整产业结构、加大环境保护投资力度等措施促进经济转型，加速“倒U型”曲线后半段的形成。

The Relationship between economic development and environmental degradation in the intensive human activity area--Case of Dongguan city in Guangdong province

In recent years, the relationship between economic growth and environmental deterioration has become a hot issues of socio-economic development. The paper explored the succession trajectory of environmental kuznets curve based on economic and environmental data of Dongguan City from 1990 to 2010. The results showed that the curve presented a peak value in 2007 in the shape of “inverted U-type” with a per capita GDP of 45.1 thousand RMB yuan. As for the single indicators such as wastewater discharge, waste gas emission and solid waste storage volume representing environmental deterioration, they showed the shape of weak“inverted U-type”curve, the rising phase of the“inverted U-type”curve and“inverted U-type＋the rising phase of the inverted U-type curve” respectively. It is concluded that the Environmental Kuznets Curve is closed to pollutant emissions, industrial reconstructing, environmental protection policies and environmental protection investment. In conclusion, Dongguan City can adjust the industrial structure, increase investment in environmental protection and take other measures to promote economic transformation and accelerate the formation of the second half＆quot;inverted U＆quot;curve.