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The influence of environmental deterioration and network improvement on transport modal choice
Authors:Junyi Shen  Yusuke Sakata  Yoshizo Hashimoto
Institution:1. Faculty of International Studies, Hiroshima City University, Hiroshima 731-3194, Japan;2. Department of Economics, Kinki University, Osaka 577-8502, Japan;3. Emeritus Professor, Osaka University, Osaka 560-0043, Japan
Abstract:We consider that transport modal choices are influenced by natural environmental change and transport network improvement. This paper examines how these impacts affect individuals’ decisions on selecting transport mode under an extension plan for the Osaka Monorail Loop-line. To estimate these impacts, we perform a Stated Choice (SC) experiment for collecting data in the neighborhood along the monorail's extended line. We estimate our model with the Heteroskedastic Extreme Value (HEV) specification in order to avoid the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) assumption in the Multinomial Logit (MNL) model. Both the results of full-sample and sub-sample data imply that residents prefer public transport modes (monorail or bus) to private cars when either the natural environment becomes worse or the transport network improves.
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