| CN算法应用于我国23次强震的预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄德瑜,陈颙,朱元清,季颖.CN算法应用于我国23次强震的预测研究[J].防灾减灾工程学报,1995(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄德瑜 陈颙 朱元清 季颖 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家地震局分析预报中心，国家地震局，上海市地震局，国家地震局分析预报中心 北京 100036，北京 100036，上海 200062，北京 100036 |
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| 基金项目： | 地震科学联合基金资助课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文用CN算法研究了我国近期大陆东部和西部南北带及邻近区域共23次强震前的TIP,即强震发生概率增长时间。结果表明,18次强震发生在被判定的强震发生概率增长时间的TIP内。TIP警戒约占总研究时空域的30％,获得了较好的中期地震预测效果。表明CN算法可作为强震中期预测的手段之一。
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| 关 键 词： | 地震目录 概率预报 强震 |
APPLICATION OF CN ALGORITHM TO FORECAST OF 23 STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA |
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| Huang Deyu.APPLICATION OF CN ALGORITHM TO FORECAST OF 23 STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA[J].Journal of Disaster Prevent and Mitigation Eng,1995(2). |
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| Authors: | Huang Deyu |
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| Abstract: | Time of increasing probability (TIP) of occurrence prior recent 23 strong earthquakes of eastern part, and N-S earthquake zone and its adjacent area of Chinese mainland is studied using CN algorithm. The result shows that 18 strong earthquakes occurred in time of increasing probability of occurrence discriminated, and TIP warning reach about 30% of total time-space domain studied, which has better effect of medium term prediction. Thus, it is thought that CN algorithm used as one of medium term prediction mean of strong earthquake. |
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| Keywords: | strong earthquake probability prediction earthquake catalog |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
