运用三次指数平滑法及多元线性回归预测并分析2000年垃圾产量

本文论述了如何运用统计预测的方法来预测我国2000年垃圾产量,以及垃圾产量的五元线性回归分析过程,并对预测结果进行了分析,说明了诸多因素与垃圾产量的线性关系.预测的方法很多,如:回归预测法、时间序列预测法、趋势外推预测法、指数平滑预测法、季节变动预测法,马尔柯夫预测法及投入产出预测法等.本文描述的预测方法是以现有数据特点及便于微机运算为基础,所有的公式都是可由微机编程的数学模型,并且表中的及各步骤的中间结果都是通过微机编程、调试计算出的精确结果.

FORECASTING AND ANALYSING THE RUBBISH OUTFUT OF 2000 YEARS BY USING THREE TIMES INDEXS SMOOTH METHOD AND MULTIPLE REGRESSION

The article expounds how to use forecasting method to estimate 2000 year's output in our country and the linear regression analyse process of the rubbish output,and then analyse the forecasting result,many factors and rubbish output are expounded. There are many many forecast methods,such as:regression forecast method,time program method,pushing forecast method,index smooth forecast method,season change forecast method,Malcolm forecast method as well as removing method and so on.The forecast method of this article is based on the data feature and computer oPeration.All of the formulas are programmed by the mathematics mould of computer.The accurate results in the table are programmed and calculaled by the computer.