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灰色拓扑预测理论在暴雨洪涝灾害预测中的应用
引用本文:冯强,王昂生.灰色拓扑预测理论在暴雨洪涝灾害预测中的应用[J].自然灾害学报,1996,5(4):98-103.
作者姓名:冯强  王昂生
作者单位:中国科学院减灾中心
摘    要:本文应用灰色理论中拓扑预测的理论方法对长江中下游地区未来几年的水灾状况作了预测试验。

关 键 词:灰色模型  拓扑预测  暴雨  洪水  灾害

THE APPLICATION OF TOPOLOGICAL FORECASTING METHOD OF GREY THEORY IN THE PREDICTION ON HEAVY RAIN FLOOD DISASTER
Feng Qiang,Wang Angsheng,Li Jishun.THE APPLICATION OF TOPOLOGICAL FORECASTING METHOD OF GREY THEORY IN THE PREDICTION ON HEAVY RAIN FLOOD DISASTER[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1996,5(4):98-103.
Authors:Feng Qiang  Wang Angsheng  Li Jishun
Abstract:With the application of topological forecasting method of Grey Theory,authors have conducted a predicting experiment on the disastrous situation of flood which would happen in the middle and lower valley of Yangtze River in the coming years.The result of the prediction shows that it might be floody in 1995 and 1997,and it might not in 1996.
Keywords:Grey model  Topological prediction  Heavy  rain flood
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