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汕头市火灾损失预测初探
引用本文:秦效启,钮宏,马云凤.汕头市火灾损失预测初探[J].自然灾害学报,1995(Z1).
作者姓名:秦效启  钮宏  马云凤
作者单位:同济大学,同济大学,同济大学 上海 200092,上海 200092,上海 200092
摘    要:本文根据汕头市有关方面1993年1月提供的该市1987年至1993年火灾损失资料,采用灰色系统理论对该市后几年的火灾最低损失值进行预测,表明该系统是着眼于系统未来行为的预控制,是超前控制,因此控制具有实时性与适用性。

关 键 词:城市防灾  灾害预测  火灾  灰色理论  汕头市

INITIAL RESEARCH ON PREESTIMATING FIRE LOSSES IN SHANTOU CITY
Qin Xiaoqi Niu Hong Ma Yunfeng.INITIAL RESEARCH ON PREESTIMATING FIRE LOSSES IN SHANTOU CITY[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1995(Z1).
Authors:Qin Xiaoqi Niu Hong Ma Yunfeng
Abstract:Studying in January 1993 issued official statistics of fire Lossed in Shantou during past 7 years (from 1987 to 1993) , based on Grey system, the authors estimate the minimum fire losses in Shantou in the future. It means that this system is an fore-control viewing to the expected behavior of the system, in another word, it is an control in advance. Therefore this system executes with timeliness and applicability.
Keywords:City guard against disaster Disaster prediction Fire Grey theory Shantou City  
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