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东北地区林业产业结构变动对林业经济增长的贡献
引用本文:钟艳,李湘玲,史常亮. 东北地区林业产业结构变动对林业经济增长的贡献[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2011, 27(11)
作者姓名:钟艳  李湘玲  史常亮
作者单位:1. 教育部学位与研究生教育发展中心,北京,100083
2. 吉首大学商学院,湖南吉首416000;北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083
3. 北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京,100083
摘    要:运用数学模型对东北地区林业产业结构变动对林业经济增长的贡献进行了定量测度.基于多部门经济模型,研究1996年以来东北地区及其黑龙江、吉林和辽宁三省林业产业结构对经济增长贡献(Z值)的变化趋势得出:Z值在长期波动中呈下降趋势,产业结构稳定性增强;基于偏离—份额分析方法分解1996-2009年Z值的地域差异构成,得出黑龙江、吉林和辽宁林业产业结构变动对当地林业经济增长的贡献地域差异明显,对各省今后林业产业结构调整和林业产业发展的方向、可行措施提出了相应的对策建议.

关 键 词:林业产业结构  经济增长  多部门模型  偏离—份额分析法

Contribution of Change in Forestry Industrial Structure to Economic Growth in Northeast China
ZHONG Yan,LI Xiang-ling,SHI Chang-liang. Contribution of Change in Forestry Industrial Structure to Economic Growth in Northeast China[J]. Resource Development & Market, 2011, 27(11)
Authors:ZHONG Yan  LI Xiang-ling  SHI Chang-liang
Affiliation:ZHONG Yan1,LI Xiang-ling2,3,SHI Chang-liang3(1.China Academic Degrees & Graduate Education Development Center,Beijing 100083,China,2.Business School,Jishou University,Jishou 416000,3.College of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,China)
Abstract:With the help of mathematical models,this paper measured the contribution of change in forestry industrial structure to economic growth in Northeast China.Based on the multiple economic model,it was found that the process was downward trend in the fluctuations forward,and the stability of forestry industrial structure was enhanced.SSM was used to disintegrate the regional difference,which showed that the difference in either the three provinces was obvious.Finally,some corresponding countermeasures were giv...
Keywords:forestry industrial structure  economic growth  multiple economic model  Shift-share analysis method  
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