| 城市自然灾害风险评价的一级模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄崇福,史培军.城市自然灾害风险评价的一级模型[J].自然灾害学报,1994,3(1):3-8. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄崇福 史培军 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学资源与环境科学系 北京
(黄崇福，史培军)，北京师范大学资源与环境科学系 北京(张远明) |
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| 基金项目： | 国家教委八五重点科学技术项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文分析了以往概率风险存在的问题,用模糊集手段定义了城市自然灾害的可能性风险,并提出了一级综合评价模型。本文提供的方法,由于能较广泛地对有关信息进行分析,从而可提高风险评价的可行性和可能性。
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| 关 键 词： | 不确定性 危险概率 模糊数 |
ONE LEVEL MODEL OF RISK EVALUATION ON CITY NATURAL DISASTER |
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| Huang Chongfu Shi Peijun Zhang Yuanming.ONE LEVEL MODEL OF RISK EVALUATION ON CITY NATURAL DISASTER[J].Journal of Natural Disasters,1994,3(1):3-8. |
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| Authors: | Huang Chongfu Shi Peijun Zhang Yuanming |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyses the problems occurring generally in the past in risk evaluation on city natural disaster by means of probability method, defines the possibility one based on fuzzy set and finally offers a one-level model for comprehensive evaluation. It is believed that the method put forward by this paper can thoroughly examine informations concerned and thus improves the feasibility and reliability of risk evaluation. |
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| Keywords: | Uncertainty Probability risk Fuzzy number |
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